- What is your prediction of when it will be over?
Speaking as the world's leading expert in conformity science matters related to risk-based command, control and quality systems for the safe and effective governance, management and operations of government and non-government organizations; there are two simple answers [one short and one long] to your subtle question (which betrays the need for a complex, careful answer);
Short answer:
I don't know.
Long answer:
Once a prophylactic (preventive) or therapeutic (corrective) vaccine (info about difference is here)[1] is approved for general, global distribution (most likely up to 10 - 15 years); don't believe me? Read this form the "Birthplace of Modern American Medicince": Info here [2]:
- Some real time tools are created, ie: Rapid Cycle Analysis noted by CDC to help accelerate the process: info here [3]
- My gut tells me that this may be the first time that "testing" and "commercial use" may go hand-in-hand because once a person gets to a point of intubation more than 50% of patients day (modal range of 65%); ask the Respiratory Therapists: info here [4] (published on the weekend)
- (COVID-19, is, after all a DISEASE caused by the SASRS-CoV-2 Virus; which is a RESPIRATORY disease, so the Respiratory Therapists should know a thing or two.): info here [5]
Until a vaccine is found (a vaccine with low negative side effects), humans will have only the following options and comparative implementation time frame:
(a) physical distancing
- Implementation time frame: Immediate
(b) non-vaccine therapy
- Implementation time frame: medium term
(c) vaccine
- Implementation time frame: long term
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This is not medical advice; nor advice of any kind. It is a summary of certain facts or opinions that are published by trusted parties. Neither I nor MQCC will be responsible for use of the above information in a manner that does not conform to statutory, regulatory or commonsense standards of conduct.
Thank you for asking [Name Withheld]
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References:
[1] Prophylactic vs. Therapeutic Vaccines Explained for Students in Pharmaceutical Courses; 2017; Academy of Applied Pharmaceutical Sciences (AAPS); https://www.aaps.ca/blog/prophylactic-vs-therapeutic-vaccines-explained-for-students-in-pharmaceutical-courses
[2] Vaccine Development, Testing, and Regulation; 2020; www.historyofvaccines.org; The College of Physicians of Philadelphia; https://www.historyofvaccines.org/content/articles/vaccine-development-testing-and-regulation
[3] Rapid Cycle Analysis; CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; U.S. Department of Health & Human Services; https://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/ensuringsafety/monitoring/vsd/index.html#RCA
[4] EARLY DATA ON INTUBATED COVID-19 PATIENTS REVEALS SEVERE MORTALITY; April 9, 2020; www.rtmagazine.com (Respiratory Therapy Magazine); Medqor – Healthcare Informatics; https://www.rtmagazine.com/disorders-diseases/critical-care/icu-ventilation/early-data-on-ventilated-covid-19-patients-reveals-severe-mortality/
[5] Naming the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and the virus that causes it; 2020; WHO World Health Organization; https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/technical-guidance/naming-the-coronavirus-disease-(covid-2019)-and-the-virus-that-causes-it
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